Here is the event link.
https://www.alibabacloud.com/campaign/double-11-guessing
We are going to guess the number of some parameter like GMV, Total Data Processed, total order placed, etc.
On 2019, it results 268,4 Billion CNY for GMV, 970 PB for Total Data Processed, 2,511 Billion Peak Real-time Computing Procession/second, 1,29 Billion for Total Orders placed, and 544 K for Peak order Creation.
I try to analyse the flow, and try to predict that the movement from the last year will reach 45,3%.
| Var | 2019 | 45,30% | 2020 (Predict) |
| GMV | 268,4 | 121,5852 | 389,9852 |
| Order Placed | 1290 | 584,37 | 1874,37 |
| Data Proceed | 970 | 439,41 | 1409,41 |
| Order Creation | 544 | 246,432 | 790,432 |
| Peak Real-time | 2551 | 1155,603 | 3706,603 |
Then, submit the prediction.
After got the real result, i don’t expect that i win even my prediction is quite close with the real one.
The real result is just like this.
- GMV: 498.2 billion CNY
- Total Number of Delivery Orders Exceeded: 2.32 billion (2320 million)
- Total Data Processed: 1.7EB (1740.8PB) per day
- Peak Order Creation: 583 thousand per second
- Peak Real-time Computing Processing: 4 billion (4000 million) per second
Fortunately, i got email and it show that i win as 9th Rank.
Wow, sounds good because i don’t use special skills or artificial intelligence for predict for more accurate results.
How about the reward?
And, after i check on my private account, it was on coupon.
I try to use it as well as possible until 31st December 2020.
I think i will try to hardening my prediction by analyse each parameter on the next same event. (haha)
